Despite some optimism about the seeds of​ recovery, the Congressional Budget Office​ (CBO) sees joblessness rising. The CBO sees unemployment peaking at​ 10.4% next year from an average of​ 9.3% this​ year, before it falls to​ 9.1% in 2011. ​Source: Fortune​, August​ 25, 2009 Why does unemployment continue to rise as an expansion​ begins?